:Speaker: Prof. Mathieu Rosenbaum, Université Pierre et Marie Curie (Paris VI) and École Polytechnique
Title: The microscopic foundations of volatility statistical properties
Abstract: In this talk, we will first review a series of statistical stylized facts of the volatility
process typically encountered in financial data. We will in particular focus on the rough
nature of the volatility, its persistence properties, and on the so-called leverage effect.
In the second part of the talk, we will show how such features can be explained from
a microscopic point of view. More precisely, we will introduce specific point processes
(Hawkes processes) enabling us to model accurately the agents behaviour on financial
markets at the high frequency scale. Then we will demonstrate that the volatility arising
from the long term dynamics of such point processes enjoys the properties detailed in
the first part of the talk. This presentation is based on joint works with Omar El Euch, Jim Gatheral and Thibault Jaisson.